
from Pescadotes
adventures and observations*****www.georgeconk.blogspot.com
According to the AP story, it was Thursday night, so Feb 18, and the ship was about 550 km SE of Rio de Janeiro. That puts it likely in Forecast Area Bravo (possibly Delta--my forecast area map is not very detailed).
The relevant part of the GMDSS Metarea V forecast for Thursday noon (GMT) to Friday noon (GMT) (winds in Beaufort, seas in metres):
PART TWO - ANALYSIS AT 180000 (hours)
LOW 1006 AT 29S 043W.
HIGH 1020 AT 40S 047W.
C(old)-FRONT OVER RIO DE JANEIRO EXTENDING TO SE AND MOVING WITH 10 KTS TO NE.
I T C Z* 02N020W, 02N030W, 01N040W AND 01N050W WITH 3/4 DEGREES (*Intertropical convergence Zone)
WIDE WITH LIGHT/MOD SHWRS AND ISOL THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
WHOLE BAND.
PART THREE - WEATHER FCST VALID FM 181200 TO 191200 (hours)AREA BRAVO
SHWRS AND ISOL THUNDERSTORMS N OF AREA.
WIND SE/E BACK(ing to) E/NE
(Force) 5/7 OCNL 8 BECMG 4/5 OCNL 6 WITH GUSTS.
WAVES S/SE 2.0/3.0 (meters) BECMG
SE/E 2.0/2.5.
VIS GOOD DECR TO MOD DURING SHWRS.
